4월 22일자 구글 LatLong 블로그 소식입니다. 며칠전 열린 미국 민주당 경선소식에 관한 내용입니다.

4월 22일 열렸던 펜실바니아 프라이머리에서 힐러리가 오바마를 10%차로 여유있게 누르고 승리했지만, 확보한 의석은 6-10석차에 불과하다고 합니다. 그 결과 현재까지 오바마가 100여석 정도 앞서고 있고요. (관련 뉴스 : 한국일보)

다만, 이 선거에서 힐러리가 졌다면 사퇴할 수 밖에 없었는데, 기상회생했다고나 할까요? 힐러리는 8월까지 계속해서 경선을 치루겠다고 한답니다. 민주당의 다음 후보 지명 예비선거는 다음달 6일 노스캐롤라이나와 인디애나주에서 실시된다고 하네요.

아래의 내용은 선거가 치루어지기 전, 어떠한 점들이 경선에 영향을 미칠 것인가를 심층분석한 내용입니다. 별로 관심이 가지 않는 내용이기도 하고, 요즘 LatLong 블로그 글이 넘쳐 번역할 것이 밀려 있어, 번역은 생략합니다.

민, 푸른하늘
====
http://google-latlong.blogspot.com/2008/04/five-factors-to-look-for-in.html
Tuesday, April 22, 2008 at 10:58 AM

(Cross-posted at Official Google Blog)

As you know, the Democratic primary is coming down to the wire, and American voters are following each set of state results more closely than ever before.

We wondered what would make the difference in the tight Pennsylvania primary—and what those results might indicate about the rest of the primary process and the general election. So we turned to numbers-cruncher Jim Barnes from the National Journal and asked him to weigh in on different sets of demographic data. Jim helped us set up an embeddable Google Map comparing different essential factors for the Democratic primary in Pennsylvania.

As you’re watching the results from this race on April 22, there are five things to look for—and they have interesting implications for the general election in November:

Age. Barack Obama has generally drawn more support from younger voters while Hillary Clinton’s base has come from older voters. With 15.2 percent of its overall population aged 65 or older, Pennsylvania has the third biggest population of seniors in the country after Florida and West Virginia. The candidate who does a better job turning out this core age group could take a big step towards winning the primary. Take a look at the percentages of registered Democrats by age bracket.

Democratic primary in the 2002 gubernatorial race. In 2002, then-Pennsylvania State Auditor General Bob Casey Jr. lost the Democratic gubernatorial primary to then-Philadelphia mayor Ed Rendell, who went on to capture the statehouse. Casey carried 57 of the state’s 67 counties in that primary, but Rendell won the contest because of his strength in the southeastern part of the state, specifically the four suburban and exurban counties outside of Philadelphia—Bucks, Delaware, Chester and Montgomery—where he carried more that 80 percent of the vote. In the Democratic presidential race, Rendell has endorsed Clinton, and Casey is backing Obama. Whether Rendell can help Clinton hold down Obama’s margins in the Philadelphia area, where he is still popular, or Casey can give Obama a boost among his political base in western, central and northeastern Pennsylvania could be pivotal in this primary’s outcome. Here are county-by-county results for the 2002 Democratic primary for governor.

Geography and growth. Based on the results seven weeks ago for the primary next door in Ohio, Clinton should be favored in the Keystone State, but Pennsylvania is more diverse state in terms of its patterns of growth. It has rural and metropolitan areas that are losing population, and fast-growing exurbs. For Obama to do well, he must win not only in Philadelphia and Pittsburgh, but also in some of the faster-growing parts of the state. Track the rate of population growth in Pennsylvania counties from 2000-2007.

Race. Obama has had some difficulty winning a significant share of support from white voters in most of the 2008 Democratic presidential primaries, but at the same time he has dominated Clinton in regard to the African-American vote in these contests. Here is the racial breakdown of Pennsylvania's 67 counties.

Religion. Obama and Clinton recently participated in a forum on issues of faith that was held at Messiah College in Pennsylvania. So far in this primary season, Sen. Obama has done well among Democratic primary voters who identify as Protestants and other denominations, but lagged among Catholics. Review the data on religious adherence by county.

As technology continues to be an influential part of this race for President, we hope you can use this map to gain a better understanding about which factors are causing Pennsylvania citizens to cast their vote. Try using the data to make your own predictions for the Pennsylvania outcome, then check if you're right by following live results tonight on Google Maps.

====
구글 LatLong 블로그 목록 : http://heomin61.tistory.com/6

댓글을 달아 주세요

BLOG main image
공간정보와 인터넷지도
제 관심사는 계속 바뀝니다. 이 블로그를 유지하는 동안에도 벌써 여러번 주제가 빠뀐 것 같습니다. 돌고 돌아 이제 고향으로 돌아왔습니다. 공간정보입니다. 세계를 측정하고, 그 기준을 세우고, 데이터를 효율적으로 공유하는 것이 공간정보에서 다루는 내용입니다. 4차산업혁명이 데이터 기반이라고들 합니다. 데이터는 그냥 모아둔다고 정보가 되지 않습니다. 표준에 따른 공통 스키마를 기반으로 만들어져야 합니다. 누구나 언제든지, 쉽고 투명하게 데이터를 가져다 쓸
by 푸른하늘이
Profile for bluesky61

달력

«   2019/10   »
    1 2 3 4 5
6 7 8 9 10 11 12
13 14 15 16 17 18 19
20 21 22 23 24 25 26
27 28 29 30 31    

카테고리

전체보기 (1590)
구글어스 (829)
공간정보 (240)
사진 (103)
드론/쿼드콥터 (239)
지오캐싱 (47)
기타 (131)
  • 4,663,854
  • 94390
TNM Media textcube get rss

공간정보와 인터넷지도

푸른하늘이's Blog is powered by Tistory. / Supported by TNM Media.
Copyright by 푸른하늘이 [ http://www.ringblog.com ]. All rights reserved.

Textcube TNM Media
푸른하늘이's Blog is powered by Tistory. Designed by Qwer999. Supported by TNM Media.