4월 22일자 구글 LatLong 블로그 소식입니다. 며칠전 열린 미국 민주당 경선소식에 관한 내용입니다.
4월 22일 열렸던 펜실바니아 프라이머리에서 힐러리가 오바마를 10%차로 여유있게 누르고 승리했지만, 확보한 의석은 6-10석차에 불과하다고 합니다. 그 결과 현재까지 오바마가 100여석 정도 앞서고 있고요. (관련 뉴스 :
한국일보)
다만, 이 선거에서 힐러리가 졌다면 사퇴할 수 밖에 없었는데, 기상회생했다고나 할까요? 힐러리는 8월까지 계속해서 경선을 치루겠다고 한답니다.
민주당의 다음 후보 지명 예비선거는 다음달 6일 노스캐롤라이나와 인디애나주에서 실시된다고 하네요.아래의 내용은 선거가 치루어지기 전, 어떠한 점들이 경선에 영향을 미칠 것인가를 심층분석한 내용입니다. 별로 관심이 가지 않는 내용이기도 하고, 요즘 LatLong 블로그 글이 넘쳐 번역할 것이 밀려 있어, 번역은 생략합니다.
민, 푸른하늘
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http://google-latlong.blogspot.com/2008/04/five-factors-to-look-for-in.html
Tuesday, April 22, 2008
at
10:58 AM
Posted by Brittany Bohnet, Google Elections Team(Cross-posted at Official Google Blog)As you know, the Democratic primary is coming down to the wire, and American voters are following
each set of state results more closely than ever before.
We
wondered what would make the difference in the tight Pennsylvania
primary—and what those results might indicate about the rest of the
primary process and the general election. So we turned to
numbers-cruncher Jim Barnes from the
National Journal and asked him to weigh in on different sets of demographic data. Jim helped us set up an
embeddable Google Map comparing different essential factors for the Democratic primary in Pennsylvania.
As
you’re watching the results from this race on April 22, there are five
things to look for—and they have interesting implications for the
general election in November:
Age. Barack
Obama has generally drawn more support from younger voters while
Hillary Clinton’s base has come from older voters. With 15.2 percent of
its overall population aged 65 or older, Pennsylvania has the third
biggest population of seniors in the country after Florida and West
Virginia. The candidate who does a better job turning out this core age
group could take a big step towards winning the primary. Take a look at
the percentages of
registered Democrats by age bracket.Democratic primary in the 2002 gubernatorial race.
In 2002, then-Pennsylvania State Auditor General Bob Casey Jr. lost the
Democratic gubernatorial primary to then-Philadelphia mayor Ed Rendell,
who went on to capture the statehouse. Casey carried 57 of the state’s
67 counties in that primary, but Rendell won the contest because of his
strength in the southeastern part of the state, specifically the four
suburban and exurban counties outside of Philadelphia—Bucks, Delaware,
Chester and Montgomery—where he carried more that 80 percent of the
vote. In the Democratic presidential race, Rendell has endorsed
Clinton, and Casey is backing Obama. Whether Rendell can help Clinton
hold down Obama’s margins in the Philadelphia area, where he is still
popular, or Casey can give Obama a boost among his political base in
western, central and northeastern Pennsylvania could be pivotal in this
primary’s outcome. Here are
county-by-county results for the 2002 Democratic primary for governor.
Geography and growth.
Based on the results seven weeks ago for the primary next door in Ohio,
Clinton should be favored in the Keystone State, but Pennsylvania is
more diverse state in terms of its patterns of growth. It has rural and
metropolitan areas that are losing population, and fast-growing exurbs.
For Obama to do well, he must win not only in Philadelphia and
Pittsburgh, but also in some of the faster-growing parts of the state.
Track the
rate of population growth in Pennsylvania counties from 2000-2007.
Race.
Obama has had some difficulty winning a significant share of support
from white voters in most of the 2008 Democratic presidential
primaries, but at the same time he has dominated Clinton in regard to
the African-American vote in these contests. Here is the
racial breakdown of Pennsylvania's 67 counties.
Religion. Obama
and Clinton recently participated in a forum on issues of faith that
was held at Messiah College in Pennsylvania. So far in this primary
season, Sen. Obama has done well among Democratic primary voters who
identify as Protestants and other denominations, but lagged among
Catholics. Review the data on
religious adherence by county.
As
technology continues to be an influential part of this race for
President, we hope you can use this map to gain a better understanding
about which factors are causing Pennsylvania citizens to cast their
vote. Try using the data to make your own predictions for the
Pennsylvania outcome, then check if you're right by following live
results tonight on
Google Maps.
====
구글 LatLong 블로그 목록 : http://heomin61.tistory.com/6
댓글을 달아 주세요
와;ㅁ; 미 대선에 관심이 많았는데 좋은 사이트 소개해주셔서 감사합니다.^^
2008.11.05 10:24 [ ADDR : EDIT/ DEL : REPLY ]옙,감사합니다~~~
2008.11.05 10:51 신고 [ ADDR : EDIT/ DEL ]실시간 확인이 가능한 구글 지도 정말 놀라운 아이디어내요. 위치데이터와 정보의 결합 가능성은 끝이 없는것 같아요.
2008.11.05 12:46 신고 [ ADDR : EDIT/ DEL : REPLY ]ikarus님께서 소개해주신 미 대선 이야기도 잘 읽었습니다. 감사합니다~~
2008.11.05 12:53 신고 [ ADDR : EDIT/ DEL ]